Reply To: Religious insurance policy
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It’s even worse than that. What if the “real” deity hasn’t even revealed him/her/it/them-selves to us at all? Or it’s a religion that has died out and left no known trace in the historical record? (You never know what might be hidden in an undiscovered urn somewhere in Baluchistan.) We cannot possibly make the right choice then!
Pascal’s wager has so many problems that when someone who knows me well enough to know I have more than one functioning braincell tries to use it on my, I simply ask them why they are insulting my intelligence.
Even assuming ONE possible god, there’s no guarantee that the probability of god exists/god doesn’t exist is 50-50 is erroneous.
I even had one idiot leave out one of the four possible combinations of (god does/doesn’t exist) and (you do/do not believe) to try to tip the “odds” in his favor. Honestly, I would have thought (before then) that someone couldn’t possibly improve on Pascal’s Wager as an example of stupidity.