Wordle 1,346 3/6*

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Bayes in action!!

Can you imagine the opposition to the curriculum if critical thinking were to become paramount? Right up there with reading, writing and arithmetic and a key part of every single school year. Religious parents would view that change as an imposition to their god-given right to mind fuck their children. Other than eastern religions and Judaism…[Read more]

Introduction to formal and informal fallacies.

Here is a more detailed explanation of Bayes Theory. Don’t be put off by the Math as the concept is more important if you are new to it.

I guess I should allow for the word “belief” and not just “understanding” as I think we all know the I don’t mean religious belief, i.e. belief that is not open to revision.

Another example:

Think of Bayes’ T…[Read more]

Reg,

Just a few practical addendum for teaching these skills in learning and reasoning:

* Put the lessons in any and all possible media, electronic and hard copy.
* Insist that anyone who teaches the lessons equally be able to exercise the lessons and they must not have any guarantee of tenure or sinecure.
*. Don’t make the lessons compulsory;…[Read more]

@ Unseen – The point you make about Columbus can be used as a basic example of Bayes Theory.  If he had being given new objective information about the location then he could have updated his understanding of what he had discovered. It would have changed his reality.  That is the essence of how Bayes works. It is not “shattering a belief”. It is d…[Read more]

Reg,

How humans learn and properly reason is a matter of fact. So it’s not that Gradgrind was wrong, It just that how to learn and reason should be the first fact he teaches

I don’t know where to fit this in, but…

Christopher Columbus did not actually discover America because he maintained until his death that he had reached some portion of Asia. Doubts were emerging but it was Amerigo Vespucci who fully realized that the Americas were truly something else, calling them a “new world.”

The point: You can only claim…[Read more]