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To the shills for Qatar who cite Al Jazeera, who cite Hamas propaganda fed to the mainstream lefty media of the west disseminating lies to advance their nefarious cause, who grasp for straws to feed their blood lust against Jews, eagerly and with gratification finding confirmation in the hoped for but nonexistent genocide of…[Read more]

Reg,

@Enco, Thanks, I blame cuts to the editing dept for not replying to emails asking them to explain what they actually do!! Typo has been corrected.

You might want to do your own spell-checking instead of farming it out. It would be a better loving example to people you want to teach Critical Thinking.

Reg the Fronkey Farmer wrote:
Your initial belief (before evidence) + new evidence = updated belief.

That sounds very reasonable.

Unseen wrote:
It is not single axioms that strike me as obvious, it is a system in which consequences and premises give one another mutual support.” — Wittgenstein, On Certainty, sec. 141-42

That’s good too.  If ther…[Read more]

“When we first begin to believe anything, what we believe is not a single proposition, it is a whole system of propositions. (Light dawns gradually over the whole.) / It is not single axioms that strike me as obvious, it is a system in which consequences and premises give one another mutual support.” — Wittgenstein, On Certainty, sec. 141-42

Wordle 1,346 3/6*

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Bayes in action!!

Can you imagine the opposition to the curriculum if critical thinking were to become paramount? Right up there with reading, writing and arithmetic and a key part of every single school year. Religious parents would view that change as an imposition to their god-given right to mind fuck their children. Other than eastern religions and Judaism…[Read more]

Introduction to formal and informal fallacies.

Here is a more detailed explanation of Bayes Theory. Don’t be put off by the Math as the concept is more important if you are new to it.

I guess I should allow for the word “belief” and not just “understanding” as I think we all know the I don’t mean religious belief, i.e. belief that is not open to revision.

Another example:

Think of Bayes’ T…[Read more]

Reg,

Just a few practical addendum for teaching these skills in learning and reasoning:

* Put the lessons in any and all possible media, electronic and hard copy.
* Insist that anyone who teaches the lessons equally be able to exercise the lessons and they must not have any guarantee of tenure or sinecure.
*. Don’t make the lessons compulsory;…[Read more]

@ Unseen – The point you make about Columbus can be used as a basic example of Bayes Theory.  If he had being given new objective information about the location then he could have updated his understanding of what he had discovered. It would have changed his reality.  That is the essence of how Bayes works. It is not “shattering a belief”. It is d…[Read more]

Reg,

How humans learn and properly reason is a matter of fact. So it’s not that Gradgrind was wrong, It just that how to learn and reason should be the first fact he teaches