Gregg R Thomas

Reg the Fronkey Farmer wrote:
Women’s bodies are moralized more than men’s, study finds.

This finding is exactly consistent with patriarchy behaving as a moral domain whose overarching method is to dominate and control women and their sexuality.  Women are subject to all kinds of rules that men are not.  The more they try to assert self-…[Read more]

@Enco, no problem, thanks. I devised a simple routine to see if I could catch Chatgpt out. I think I have made A.I. look a bit dumb. I will post later…..

@Enco –  You might want to do your own spell-checking instead of farming it out. It would be a better loving example to people you want to teach Critical Thinking.

I did. Liar and lair are both considered correct by any spell checker. It was a typo on my behalf and it was in the Sunday School post.But thanks for the rather snide comment.

Reg the Fronkey Farmer wrote:
Your initial belief (before evidence) + new evidence = updated belief.

That sounds very reasonable.

Unseen wrote:
It is not single axioms that strike me as obvious, it is a system in which consequences and premises give one another mutual support.” — Wittgenstein, On Certainty, sec. 141-42

That’s good too.  If ther…[Read more]

“When we first begin to believe anything, what we believe is not a single proposition, it is a whole system of propositions. (Light dawns gradually over the whole.) / It is not single axioms that strike me as obvious, it is a system in which consequences and premises give one another mutual support.” — Wittgenstein, On Certainty, sec. 141-42

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Bayes in action!!

Introduction to formal and informal fallacies.

Here is a more detailed explanation of Bayes Theory. Don’t be put off by the Math as the concept is more important if you are new to it.

I guess I should allow for the word “belief” and not just “understanding” as I think we all know the I don’t mean religious belief, i.e. belief that is not open to revision.

Another example:

Think of Bayes’ T…[Read more]

@ Unseen – The point you make about Columbus can be used as a basic example of Bayes Theory.  If he had being given new objective information about the location then he could have updated his understanding of what he had discovered. It would have changed his reality.  That is the essence of how Bayes works. It is not “shattering a belief”. It is d…[Read more]

I don’t know where to fit this in, but…

Christopher Columbus did not actually discover America because he maintained until his death that he had reached some portion of Asia. Doubts were emerging but it was Amerigo Vespucci who fully realized that the Americas were truly something else, calling them a “new world.”

The point: You can only claim…[Read more]

I thought that Bayesian reasoning was about extrapolating “what is” to “what might be”, thereby limiting new ideas.