Unseen

Here is a more detailed explanation of Bayes Theory. Don’t be put off by the Math as the concept is more important if you are new to it.

I guess I should allow for the word “belief” and not just “understanding” as I think we all know the I don’t mean religious belief, i.e. belief that is not open to revision.

Another example:

Think of Bayes’ T…[Read more]

@ Unseen – The point you make about Columbus can be used as a basic example of Bayes Theory.  If he had being given new objective information about the location then he could have updated his understanding of what he had discovered. It would have changed his reality.  That is the essence of how Bayes works. It is not “shattering a belief”. It is d…[Read more]

Thanks Simon, Bayesian thinking is all about checking out new ideas. We don’t want kids to hold beliefs, we want them to have “understandings”. Then when a new idea (information) comes along, they will have the skills to reason through it and adapt their understanding accordingly.

Bayesian reasoning, logic, and fallacy recognition would do more…[Read more]

The United States sent $50 million in condoms to Hamas. Diversity programs caused a plane crash. China controls the Panama Canal. Ukraine started the war with Russia.

Except, no. None of that is true. Not that it stops President Trump. In the first month since he returned to power, he has demonstrated once again a brazen willingness to advance…[Read more]

I have more to add but decided to start  with this. Let’s see how it develops.

@Jakelafort…..I am going to post something on Critical Thinking and improving Education for children soon.  A “first draft” that we can build upon.

@Strega, as always you are very welcome. Any break in the weather there?

@unapologetic – Point 3 – I always help xians by  correcting the chapter and verse notations when they start quoting scripture as some type of proof. I then explain the circular nature of their argument and say “If you are trying to prove the Bible is the word of your god by quoting it, then I will quote from Dracula to prove it also is”.

@Enco, Thanks, I blame cuts to the editing dept for not replying to emails asking them to explain what they actually do!!  Typo has been corrected.

Also, there is no historical evidence that Charles Darwin ever wrote, said, or implied that his goal was to “murder God.”

Thanks, Reg!

The Swedish case that i had cited and Reg has Sunday’d is an illustration of the current controlling the dispensation of not justice but ideology. Assuming even a modicum of honesty in the reporter’s representation of the facts it is a revealing reflection of the contemporary lefty values. Once again enabling the ineffable horror of the Islamic…[Read more]

Have a great week folks!

Strega,

Thank you for mackwowledging me.

Agreed, humans are hierarchical. Other than Kung Bushman not aware of any culture that does not have a hierarchy. On the other hand the Kung Bushman exhibit that lovely evolutionary survival advantage-neuroplasticity. And it is what we need to harness in a better direction.

As for the others/nonmembers…[Read more]

Firstly, “Jake spake” is possibly the coolest signoff line I’ve seen 😎.

Regarding wishing we could all see each other as equals, that’s not how humans evolved. We are an instinctive tribal species, and there’s always “the enemy” somewhere to fight. If you’ve got no-one to fight, you’ll lose your fighting people.

You see it in football in Europ…[Read more]

If you contemplate the cynical/skeptical apolitical or at least nonideological individuals v those with the most ardent beliefs it is the difference between a ticking time bomb and an inert gas.

The communist. The fundamentalist fill in the blank. The Nazi. The hate group member. The former Christians of centuries ago and a few today. The…[Read more]

Dumb as a rock?

Which large group is exempt?

Seeing the world that way engenders hatred and polarization. When will we as a species come to recognize that there is absolutely nobody home? That is true for vast majority of humans. Whichever way the current goes they go. Unless and until we recognize how easily manipulated we are and how central…[Read more]

Do Americans even have the credibility to condemn authoritarian dictatorships these days? Our new allies are North Korea and Russia. Our enemies are Europe, Canada and Mexico.